I spent the weekend scoping out the water conditions on Spotted Bear and the South Fork downriver from the foot bridge. Saturday, the gauge above Twin Creeks was reading 11,000 and the river was big, but nothing too frightening. Even that hairpin bend before the bridge never got rowdy.
The falls on Spotted Bear just below Big Bill Creek were ripping pretty good, and there’s not much of a chance to exit above them.

In light of that, I opted to float from the Trail Creek Trailhead access just below the corrals. It takes a little bit of attention, but there’s nothing overly scary most of the way. Wood is easy to spot, and I never saw anything bigger than a small branch floating down the water.
The canyon by the ranger station is easily floatable, but the confluence has some scary hydraulics with a couple gnarly whirlpools. I’d recommend taking the inside corner and catching the eddy up a ways to position yourself to get past the rocky point.

Basically, Spotted Bear & SF Flathead are good to go. It seems the scary stuff this year will be the snow. For anyone looking to track me, my mapshare is https://share.garmin.com/acupino and my InReach is andrew.cupino@inreach.garmin.com