Well, I pretty much agree with your tests and graphs, but I disagree with the statements made in your discussions. Yes, I understand the data becomes increasingly more cyclic. But, your statement 1 bothered me.
You said:
” Synthetic insulation degradation measured by thermal resistance decreases roughly 2% per compression cycle for Climashield Apex and 1% per compression for Primaloft Gold. Based on the trend equation, Climashield Apex will lose about half its insulation value after 60 compressions. Primaloft Gold will lose about half its insulation value after 164 compressions. The low R2 on Primaloft Gold means this is a very weak estimate. The moderate R2 for Climashield Apex means that trend provides a more dependable estimate.”
OK, even given that the Gold is a weak estimate, it looks to be better in the field. Getting this down to practicality, your tests suggest a half-life of 60 nights for Apex and a half-life of ~160 nights for the Gold. Since I am normally out 45-60 nights per year, I do not expect either to be worth the effort of the additional weight compared to down. (Yes, synthetics are much improved, but still fall well short of good down; normally, a half-life of about 300 nights or about 5 years at my usage.)
You said:
“Synthetic insulation degradation measured by loft decreases about 0.2% per compression cycle for Climashield Apex and Primaloft Gold. Thus, there is little change in loft after the 12th compression for Climashield Apex and the 7th compression for Primaloft Gold.”
I cannot disagree with this. 50 years ago I used some synthetic bags filled with Holofill. They lasted about 15nights, then I started getting cold at their rated temps. Each time I backed them, they got worse. Looked great, but they lost all their loft after one season. I got a pair of 0F bags ($15 each) that just were not worth the dollars. At the end of the summer, they left me cold at 32F.