I disagree. Water vapour will travel in BOTH directions as it escapes from your bag/quilt…towards the bag and away from the bag. Water vapour is NOT condensation. IFF the bag and material are warmer than the outside air, it will get some condensation(real H2O, not vapour,) but hopefully, your body will warm it enough to cause it to enter the water vapour state again. A tent that is condensing does so because it gets it’s moisture from somewhere, given that the tent is about 5F above ambient, anyway. Usually it is a bit more than that. I see around 3-5F on my tarp. Anyway, I would expect the condensation on the quilt to be reduced by at least 50% under a lighter quilt, therefore. This is not counting the reduced perspiration under the lighter quilt or rewarming of any condensation.
I would guess that the fabric in use has a higher specific heat, possibly polyester based(?), hence is “cooler” to the air than the air itself. Soo, warming it with body heat will tend to dry off the material as quickly as it is formed under most conditions. Only under long, continuous rain showers(>1hr) has this trick not worked for me. Yup, the down will get a bit damp feeling. Roughly speaking, the actual condensation is displaced to the air as water vapour, then to the tent surface to condense…likely the coldest part of the system.
There is a reason I don’t use a 0F bag in 20F conditions. The condensation will actually occur INSIDE the down and freeze there. This won’t bother me till night two. Now the day has had a chance to warm up and soak the entire bag with the condensation. Downtec doesn’t matter, since it will only protect down for an hour or so. The outside layers will freeze quicker and the inside will remain wet, added to by my perspiration. By the third night, I am getting cold at 30F, even though I brought a 0F bag. It gets worse in colder weather. Over-bagging is not a good thing and is a well known phenomenon.
The air may not be at it’s saturation point. At the surface of the tent, it will be cooler, soo, this is where a large portion of the more permanent condensation will happen. The tent/outside air is cooler than inside your tent…perfect for condensation. Now, this is all statistical, so that does NOT mean it cannot happen on your face, as well, or, back on your quilt. It just evaporates as quickly as it forms, so you never really feel it as wet. However, I have a longish beard. Often enough I still get some on my beard when it is around freezing.