Does anyone have any tips for predicting how much haze/smoke there will be in a given area, from wildfires either in that area or even in different states? Are there any resources similar to weather forecast sites that help you guess how good the visibility will be? I am hoping to do my big backpacking trip of the year either next week or the week after (whichever has better weather/conditions), but I will cancel/postpone if the air quality is poor enough to ruin the views. The problem is, I have no idea how to look that up! I’ve planned two separate trips, each a long drive in the opposite direction from where I live (one in SW CO and one in the Winds), with the hope that the weather and air quality will be favorable in one of the two locations even if it’s bad in the other. I would prefer to go next week but could push it back a week, so I’m also flexible with my dates as well. If anyone has any insight into which of these locations will probably be less smoky, or if anyone has any tips to figure this out, please let me know!
Topic
predicting smoke/haze levels
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- This topic has 9 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 5 years, 8 months ago by .
Real time air quality here,
I’m looking forward to other’s replies on this. I currently use inciweb.gov, fire.airnow.gov/, and Wunderground.
Thanks all! I’ll look into each of these when I get a chance (hopefully tonight). If anyone else has any tips for this, please chime in!
The Windy app (also windy.com) has a PM2.5 layer, but it’s based on the CAMS 40km model, so I’m not sure how accurate it is.
Smoke and PM2.5 levels can be very localized. On some days, it’s almost too smoky to leave the house and the skies are dark, but if we drive a mile or two, the air is much cleaner and the sun is out. Broad forecasts are just that. So don’t be surprised if your trip takes you in and out of smoky areas, even with a clear forecast.
And forecasts can be wrong. And the weather changes. And new fires can start in a (lightning) flash.
Sometimes you just have to accept more uncertainty and deal with the reality. That’s part of the adventure.
— Rex
Rex—yeah, I’m willing to deal with some uncertainty; I’m just trying to figure out enough to know whether I should drive 6 hours South or 8 hours North (which is hopefully easier than trying to get exact forecasts)! It’ll play around with the above suggestions over the next couple of days; thanks again everyone
For wind speed and directions in the next 48 hours, I usually pull up the Terminal Area Forecasts for a local airport.  e.g. Google “TAF LAX”.  It will all look very cryptic because it’s abbreviated to what a pilot would transcribe.  There are plain-text converters like this one:
https://www.iflightplanner.com/resources/metartaftranslator.aspx
But I’m being a dinosaur in that way.
Windy.com or their Windy app is vastly more information, presented graphically, and lets you scroll through several days in the future, hour by hour.
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