Great! Can't wait to see what Richard comes up with.
There are good alternatives almost as light (within .05 oz), by disassembling tarps, but much more expensive. So this one, if available in a range of colors, and somewhere close to the HH Roger recommends, would be a boon for MYOG.
I've observed many instances where fabrics have blocked rain over long periods, and seemed reliable for shelters, only to have them fail when rain and wind became even longer and more intense than usual. I haven't the first clue of the science involved, only know that it consistently happens, usually in sites that are open and exposed. If the winds are strong from one direction, the tent wall pitched at an angle won't help much.
What's confusing is that HH doesn't always seem to be a predictable measure of when the breaking (leaking) point will be reached in actual use. That may be because the makers lower the HH represented to be sure they do not exceed the actual. Or that the HH level varies in the coating on the material. Or it may be due to the type of coating (sil, PU or combo), but although often mentioned, what evidence has been offered in support? Yet Ian at WE did maintain that a PU floor was used for the sil bug dome because it remained more water resistant under pressure and use. So maybe the PU lasts longer, not the peely stuff of old, but currently. This would lean in favor of the coatings on the former Golite tarp, or StoS Escapist tarps, all or mostly PU, and with the characteristics of PU, although with some sil content claimed for the latter. They both are or were spec'd by the makers at 1200mm HH.
I think exposure to less severe storms, and variations in the coating on the same fabric, are the best explanations for different results in actual use with the same tested HH. This would also explain why makers spec a lower HH, knowing that coatings are not completely uniform. It is also consistent with Roger's many observations of material with otherwise a good HH leaking at the larger ripstop threads. Taking all that into account, the higher HH would usually be the safer bet if it also tests well after simulated aging
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Usually I'd order something like the Membrane as a risk venture, but since I'll never make a black tent, Richard's test and possibly some lighter colors will be anxiously awaited.