>> [Etc. Etc.] On the other hand, I've known non-smoking, (relatively) non-drinkers who ate low fat, healthy diets who died in their 50s or 60s.
Yes. Luck certainly plays a part. I cannot, for instance, truthfully make a statement like "if you eat lots of cholesterol and smoke three packs a day then you will die young, but if you eat right and exercise you'll live to be a hundred." That's simply not how it works. Instead, STATISTICS and RISK are the language of science. What I could say is that such habits will dramatically increase your RISK of health issues. Absolutely. I've also known people who did all of the wrong things and lived to ripe old ages. But how many people who had the same behaviors DIDN'T, because of their smoking, cheezeburgers, etc.?
Speaking of statistics, isn't life insurance kind of morbid? Basically, you are saying "I'll bet the insurance company that I'll die before they get more money from my premiums than they'll have to pay out upon my death."
>> It would be absurd to argue that diet has no effect on health. It would also be absurd to argue that genetics has nothing to do with the effects of diet on an individual.
I would have to agree. Obviously some people are more genetically predisposed to certain conditions than others. As an extreme example, if you have familial hypercholesterolemia you are kind of screwed no matter what you eat. (I've seen spun-down blood serum samples that looked like milk…)
And, actually, that's a GREAT example of the reproductive success stuff that Lynn talked about! Because FH doesn't tend to cause severe cardiovascular problems until AFTER your prime reproductive years (in its heterozygous form), there isn't much Darwinian pressure against it.
A dominant gene that killed people at age 10 would die out pretty quick, wouldn't it?
"Survival of the fittest" is a very confusing term. It does NOT mean that any trait that is good for an individual gets passed on. Instead, it means that any trait that IMPROVES REPRODUCTIVE SUCCESS tends to get passed on. (Which is kind of intuitive, when you think about it.) That isn't the most rigorous definition- eusocial insects come to mind as an example that stresses it- but it is a pretty close approximation.
>> I am still dubious that saturated fat is as entirely evil as it is portrayed.
Well, honestly, me, too. It is certainly bad for you, but probably not AS bad as we thought back in the 80s and 90s, when everyone was really upset about it, avoiding eggs, etc.
In general, since it is simply impossible to maintain a healthy lifestyle in all aspects all the time, I simply advocate moderation in all things. Be reasonable. If I let her, my wife would live on rare steak and baked potatoes…
EDIT– I just read that Brad mentioned the moderation thing, too.
>> But they do cite Uffe at one point so I guess the whole concept is trash?
No, brother. I can't say that. BUT you have developed a VERY good habit in that you are checking sources. Just because somebody can cite a reference doesn't mean that that what they are saying isn't bogus. A LOT of wingnut stuff gets published. You could cite all kinds of wierd, fringe, new-age, UFO-abduction, anal-probing, Atlantean civilization stuff if you wanted to. It is "cite-able."
Beware a few things:
Any time you see a cite for an UNpublished scientific article, be INCREDIBLY suspicious. Any time you see somebody citing his own earlier work, you MUST check on that work and it's citations, because it might be based on utterly wingnut info. As a general guide, anytime you see somebody identified as a "world-renonwed" whatever kind of scientist on a book cover- doubt it. Anybody who is world-renowned probably does not publish mass-media books, and certainly isn't likely to be tooting their own horn in such a manner. The "world renowned" or similar phraseology is commonly used by wingnuts who have a few supporters or who have authored books in the past. Or who have been on Oprah. That is their criteria for "world-renowned." Finally, any time you see a quote from someone who works for a "think tank" or something like that, check out that organization on SourceWatch. You can find a lot of 'scientific'-looking info about how the danger of cigarettes has been overstated and about how oil is a benificent energy source published by the Heartland Institute, for example. (Sorry, Rog- I'm just trying to make a point about critiquing publications, here. Please don't jump in…) BUT, when you know that Heartland is funded by several tobacco and oil companies, and in fact has or has had many of their executives on their board, well, that changes things, doesn't it?
If you are being VERY thorough, you could investigate such likes with ALL of the citations, but that gets old quick.
>> Our bodies actually adjusted in a major way, via a mutation in the amylase gene that allows us to easily digest amylose (the main carbohydrate in grains).
I would propose that a copy-number mutation for a single gene isn't a "major way", Lynn. Certainly IMPORTANT for its survival benefit, but not the major metabolic overhaul that would be needed to turn humans into near-obligate carnivores. Likewise with lactase, as I mentioned. IMHO these are indeed critically important, but not drastic. They both increased the number of food sources that are digestable for humans, but neither has ANY effect on how our metabolisms react to all that fat and sugar floating around in our bloodstreams.
>> The most obvious answer is that, if a person, overwight or not, wishes to enjoy the backcountry, then they will enjoy it more with a lighter pack.
A cogent point that gets back to the OP…
>> Rather, I was suggesting that beyond a certain point science can become more fuzzy, less certain.
>> Merely trying to point out that we can't answer all questions with definitive scientific explanations.
Certainly! On some subjects, we are VERY fuzzy. But not ALL subjects. And on many subjects there are people who try to MAKE things fuzzy when they aren't. The fringe does this with some regularity, as do politicians on BOTH extremes. Often it works like this:
99% of scientists agree on something that a politician finds inconvenient. He thus wants to create the impression of disagreement on the subject in the scientific community. So, in the name of "getting the full picture", he invites two people to speak before some committee. One is a representative of the 99% and one is the leader of the 1% wingnuts. The discussion is then promoted with vigor, and the politician makes a great display of publicly praising BOTH representatives for their "opinions.". This does two things: 1) it inappropriately legitimizes the wingnut, and 2) creates the false impression that the split is more like 50/50 than 99/1. Thus, the politician can claim that we really don't know what the answer is, so until 'more research' is done we can just keep doing (whatever it was that he wanted). That is also why many real scientists don't like to engage the wingnuts- it lends them legitimacy. But sometimes, if all that the public are hearing is the wingnuts, you just HAVE to step up and be the voice of reason…
Watch out for stuff like that. I REALLY don't trust ANY politician.
>> You don't get lung cancer if you're a live in a Mormon culture.
Well, heck, actually almost 5% of lung cancers ARE sporadic… Just sayin' :o)
>> Im not sure how this is even relevant,
Well, Brian, when you say that eating lots of meat and dairy is OK because early humans did it all the time, you are kind of implying that humans have evolved for that diet. They have not. See above.
>> Bottom line there is research that challenges the old views and the old views are based on questionable ground.
Bull. See my last hundred or so posts… Are you going to be my next Rog, Brian? I'll stop arguing with the True Believer, now. :o)
>> There's certainly a lot to be said for eating plenty of fish
Of course! As I said, I'm not a vegan. I'm all for fish. Heck, I'm all for any other meat. And dairy. I just fall into the moderation camp. It is the devout carnivores among us who are kidding themselves. (For some people this really DOES approach being a religious issue…)
But then, among diet proponents, an unusually large percentage of vegans are really religious about it, eh? But almost any food has both benefits and drawbacks- even a vegan diet. A vegan diet is, almost of necessity, a high-fiber diet. High-fiber diets increase the risk of colonic volvulus. Of course it also decreases the risk of colon cancer, so, pick your poison. Personally I'd rather have a volvulus…
P.S. Brad and Evan: do you guys dress alike, too? 'Cause your avatars are confusing… :o)