OK, I'm new to this forum so please don't jump all over me for this question as I'm sure it's been asked plenty before.
Anyway, I'm pretty new to ultralight packing. I'm not, however, new to backpacking. I'm a gear head, but I'm stumped with this question.
I have a 8×10 tarp. I will be using a 4 oz blue foam pad cut to my torso. My pack as the other half. I will just get some tyvek to use as a ground cloth. I just need a new bag. The one I have now is light and small but not warm (slumberjack ultimate, which isn't very ultimate) It's rated at 20 but I get cold at almost 40. I've got my base weight at less than 13 lbs with the slumberjack.
Should I get a down or synthetic bag with this system? Can I keep down dry enough under a tarp? It's a pretty risky thing and I don't want to mess up a $300 purchase.
Any help would be great. Sorry in advance for the noob question.

