Ok, this is a really fun problem but its gets complex quickly. I want to discuss what I have done with you but I want to try not to get you too lost. I’ll try words first. I can post equations if you would find that helpful.
Model
Heat is released by people in the tent (70-80 watts per person while sleeping from a quick google search). The heat warms the air and buoyancy forces create a temperature differential and pressure differential across the tent (top to bottom). That pressure differential across the vent of the tent controls the flow of air. That is a solvable set of equations (3 equations/3 unknowns). You are solving for temperature differential, pressure differential, and air flowrate.
Humidity
The incoming air is at some ambient temperature and humidity. It warms up in the tent but the people also add moisture (40 grams per hour per sleeping person based on a quick Google search). The resulting air is warmer and contains more air. The sample calculation I did shows the relative humidity actually goes down slightly (because warm air can absorb more moisture). To determine if condensation occurs I have to compare the dew point of the hot moist air in the tent to the temperature of the insulated wall. I am in the process of modeling the tent wall to make that calculation.
Sample Calculation
Inputs
outlet vent = 50 in^2
inlet vent = 100 in^2
height of the tent = 1 meter (semicircle)
length of the tent = 2 meters (I know that is short, but I am using it to estimate heat loss area and most tents narrow near the foot end)
thickness of double-wall = 3 inches
ambient temperature = 0 celcius
ambient humidity = 60%
heat input = 2 people x 80 watts
moisture input = 2 people x 40 grams/hour
Output
Tent temperature = 7.7 celcius
tent relative humidity = 53%
air flow rate = 0.0186 kg/s (sorry for the units… it’s easier for the calculation. I can convert it to any unit you might like)
pressure differential = 0.35 Pa
If you want different conditions please let me know. I’ll keep working on the wall dew point stuff.