The 20F, 20-oz option definitely for spring in the low desert. Weeks later as you gain some elevation, track how much the weather has warmed up.
Before resorting to another 10 ounces for another 10F as you head into the High Sierra, I’d first add another the 2.5 ounce Thinlight Foam Pad – 1/8″ CCF pad by Gossamer Gear. $18. Have someone send it to you. And, of course, have someone who can access your 10F bag and send that to you, if it’s shaping up to be cold or late snow season.
Remember that if you didn’t wear all your clothes at least one night, you brought too much sleeping bag.
And that your macro- and micro- site selection choices can easily make a 20F difference. Each 1000 feet lower is 3.5F warmer. Getting under cover of a tree / roof / tarp eliminates your radiant losses to deep space. Getting just 20 to 30 vertical feet above the floor of a valley, meadow or lakeshore can be another 10-15F for free. Avoiding a sloping creek drainage gets you away from the descending katabatic wind from higher, colder terrain.
Guess where the coldest spots will be and then look around the next morning for where the dew and frost formed. That kind of active engagement is a powerful teacher.