Layering for Mid-Sept Hike

As phrased, I do not have any help for you. Perhaps you can clarify you question and maybe get better answers.

It seems to me you are actually asking 2 questions:

1. What will the weather be for the last part of September in The Northern Smokies?
2. Will the above clothes keep me warm enough in those conditions?

I don’t know anything about #1. But you can answer some of that online. Like hours of daylight and average temperature and precipitation.

As far as # 2, that’s a tricky question:

• Do you run warm or cold compared to most? What temperature are you comfortable in with that quilt and pad?
• What is your shelter?
• Will you be hiking long days or spending more time in camp?
• If weather is bad, will you bail out, push on or hunker down?

At a minimum, you need to consider those factors before choosing your gear