“Is there a LW WPB fabric that has a sufficiently high waterproof rating to use as a base that also has reasonable breathability? Would Robic work?”
WPB? Nope.
Robric XL? Looks like it wouldn’t be recommended.
Regarding wpb’s, there’s enough controversy out there to indicate that most WPB’s either don’t really work as marketed, or they wet out after a few extended day trips, so trying to employ them to the bottom of a bivy seems like it would be a genuine waste of money for something that would most likely fail at the worst possible time.
As Rene indicated, RbR has a nice, light wpb which is rather water resistant and has a descent MTVR, but that’s probably under lab conditions, and certainly not a measurement of moisture transfer between you and the ground when sleeping. I’d wager that the MTVR measurement between a person in a bivy and the ground will be zero, especially since most folks sleep on a totally non-breathable sleeping pad.
The underside of a bivy should be both as waterproof (AND DURABLE) as practical, without sacrificing weight. Of course in general, the more waterproof and durable it gets, the heavier it will get. I’d recommend looking at our cottage friends and determine what they are using for their bivy’s (EE, Zpacks, MLD, etc…).
Good luck!