A question for all you New Mexico folks. For our annual beginner mountain backpacking trip for the central Texas Camp Fire kids, we like to hike a nice loop in Pecos Wilderness–Jacks Creek TH to Pecos Baldy Lake/East Pecos Baldy, then across on Skyline to Horsethief Meadow, then back down Cave Creek to Panchuela CG. We try to schedule this for less rain and less fires, which can be contradictory goals, but usually end up with last week of June or first week of July unless it looks like a dry high-fire year, when we'll shoot for mid-July which often has increasing rain. We have generally avoided going earlier in June because according to the Forest Service snow can make the upper trails impassable for beginners until mid-June. But this year we are running into extraneous scheduling issues with our usual window. Also in recent years there has been so much less snow either because less fell or because it melted faster. So I am considering whether mid-June might be a possibility.
Does anyone in that area have a good idea yet about how likely it is that these trails will be clear or impassable in mid-June this coming season? I am not a skier and live nowhere near the mountains so I really know nothing much about interpreting snow reports or seasonal melting factors.
Please advise if you have any ideas.
Thanks!

