Hey guys. I'm heading up into the Enchantments with a core zone permit on the 30th of September till the 5th of October. I'm trying to look at weather forecasts but I'm getting mixed signals. Some forecasting highs of 40 with a chance of snow, some say just raining, some partly cloudy.. which forecast is generally most accurate in this area?
Also, I'm still unsure of the kind of gear I'll need for this area. For cool weather I currently have the Patagonia Nano Air (or Arc'teryx Atom LT), Patagonia R1 Hoody, Arc'teryx Cerium LT Hooded Down Jacket, Patagonia Cap 4 base layer (top) and Cap 3 base layer (bottoms), thin fleece gloves, beanie and wool socks. I'm presuming I'll need some warmer gloves and a warmer pant of some kind? Maybe fleece?
I have a pretty terrible rain jacket that soaks through. If expecting possible snow, what lightweight hardshell should I be looking at? I was considering the Arc'teryx Alpha FL, any better suggestions?
Also, the only real tent I have ATM is a TT Stratospire 2 or ZPacks Solplex (of which I haven't really gotten along with so far). Not sure how this would handle possible snow up there?
Any advice would be great as I've only recently moved from Australia this would be my first time hiking in this kind of cold and with snow if these forecasts are correct.

