Hmmm…
Well I know it's a bit of a personal decision depending on my own genetics, etc., but there is a limit to genetics, and I was just trying to get an idea of how many people successfully go through SoCal in shorts without much sunscreen.
For the sake of this post, this is what I look like with my normal summer tan (handily pictured here with a white shirt on for comparison's sake):

So I'm not exactly fair skinned. But I've also never hiked through the SoCal desert in May/June and the Sierra in June/July, so I'm just trying to get a feel for what other people have experienced.
If it's even a normal snow year, it seems like the need for pants is sort of inevitable in the Sierra due to the snow's albedo, the altitude, and the potential postholing and glissading activities.
In fact, the only time in my life that I can ever remember getting burned on my legs was hiking above 7,000 feet for several hours in shorts on the east side of Mt Hood. It was a pretty mild burn but I can imagine that weeks of that would add up pretty fast.
I have to respectfully disagree about the equivalence of forearms and legs with their susceptibility to burn. At least in my case, my forearms are much more likely to burn than my legs.
As for the poison oak and poodle dog bush considerations, this will not be overlooked. But I still don't see how pants would be a whole lot better for this than shorts on a long hike like the PCT where you won't be laundering your clothes immediately after contact. Everyone does know that it's the oils exuded from these plants that are the problem right? If you walk through these plants with pants on and then proceed to touch your pant legs, you might as well be touching the plants themselves.
I am extremely allergic to poison oak and poison ivy (and presumably poodle dog bush), to the point where I'm always on the lookout and will wash my body immediately after contact, and I refuse to pet dogs out on the trail because they are notorious for rolling around in the stuff.
Even with all this in mind, I still don't really see the long term advantage of long pants in defending against poison oak and poodle dog bush, due to the aforementioned true cause of the contact dermatitis (i.e. the oils) and the complication of having to deal with a contaminated piece of clothing after contact.