I realize this is an old thread but since this topic is something of a hobby of mine I’d like to add a few points.
To the OP, I don’t doubt there are upticks and down-ticks in giardiasis cases in given areas at certain times. Only about 1% of giardiasis cases are reported to the CDC so it’s hard to pinpoint.
Outside of a major outbreak it is usually extremely difficult to pinpoint the source of the infection.
Contrary to what is often quoted, studies have NOT proven hygiene is a greater source of giardiasis in the backcountry (vs water.) There has been speculation in that regard, but it is only speculation. There have been many studies showing a correlation between untreated backcountry water and giardiasis. See the quotes in bold near the top of this page. I have never seen a study similar to the above linking poor backcountry hygiene to giardiasis.
It’s a false choice anyway. NOLS, who likely has more REAL WORLD DATA than anyone. From Wikipedia “The National Outdoor Leadership School (NOLS), which emphasizes strict hand-washing techniques, water disinfection and washing of common cooking utensils in their programs, reports that gastrointestinal illnesses occurred at a rate of only 0.26 per 1000 program days.[35] By contrast, studies of hiking trips on the Appalachian Trail that averaged almost 5 months, reported that more than half of the hikers experienced at least one episode of diarrhea that lasted an average of 2 days. The occurrence of diarrhea was positively associated with the duration of exposure in the wilderness. A number of behaviors each individually reduced the incidence of diarrhea: treating water; routinely washing hands with soap and water after urination (as did after defecation); cleaning cooking utensils with soap and warm water; and taking multi-vitamins”
Tinidazole is hard to beat for treating giardiasis. It is usually given in one dose and has been shown to be very effective. (consult your physician.)
The minimum infectious dose is not 10 cysts as is commonly quoted. There’s approximately 2% chance of infection with a single cyst.
Chlorine Dioxide (including Aqua Mira drops) works well on giardia if used properly (proper concentration and wait time for the water temp and clarity.)
It is absolutely false that backcountry water is safer than San Francisco city water. That city water is treated with UV light, chlorine and chloramine. Each of those treatments, properly employed, will kill at least 99.9% of giardia cysts.
Actual data shows that preschoolers are in a high giardiasis risk group from poor hygiene in day care centers, while backpackers are in a high risk group if they drink untreated water. Source: CDC.
Again, hygiene vs. water treatment is a false choice as NOLS has clearly shown.