Thanks, Bob. Everything I have read agrees with your range estimation method.
I've done a bit more research, focusing on radios made by Motorola, Uniden, Midland, and Cobra. The reading I've done is disheartening. First, it is very difficult, and often impossible, to find the weight or the wattage for any of these radios. Shipping weights and "maximum range" are the only values available for most of these, and those numbers are useless.
I've skimmed a large number of reviews, and it seems that two-way radios are just not a practical way to communicate in the backcountry in most situations (the scenario Bob described is one exception). If the terrain is mountainous, a good whistle or a deep breath and a shout will carry a distress message over a much greater distance than any two way radio smaller than a toaster. I'm surprised by this.
Also, using the higher powered GMRS channels requires an expensive FCC license, so using a $50 set of radios on GMRS channels actually costs $220 for two people (a 2010 proposal to eliminate the license requirement is still pending).
Despite all of this, I am still considering these models:
a) Motorola MB140r____2.5oz___("10 mi range")
b) Uniden 1636________?_______("16 mi range")
c) Cobra CXT125_______2.50z___("16 mi range")
d) Midland LXT380_____3.2oz___("24 mi range")
e) Midland LXT490_____3.2oz___("26 mi range")
I will probably decide to abandon the idea, given my recent reading, but I would welcome any input about these models.