I’ll share my limited experience here and “parrot” things that I’ve read here over the last couple of years:
1. According to a post by DrJ, correcting something I “parroted” (mywords were about the classic 5deg improvement by using a bivy was my comment) as a reply some time ago, DrJ began with the word “Nope.” Then he went to say that bivy bags do NOT add to warmth. They protect from the wind and spray. Thinking about it, they do trap some air, but convenction is likely in that mass of air whenever you move or if a thicke layer of air exists anywhere (~1/4″ or thicker layer of air can have convection) and the bivy material itself is very thin and not a good insulator. Both quilts and sleeping bags can suffer from strong cold wind.
2. I’m not sure a WPB layer on the outside of a sleeping bag will weigh less than adding a 6.5-7.0 oz bivy sack, plus you don’t get any bug netting if that is a concern of yours. Check out MtnHw sleeping bags. Some of their bags come in DWR finish and some with their proprietary WPB Conduit SL laminant as the outer fabric. Notice the difference in weights. For example, a Phantom 32 with 10oz of 800-fillPower down producing 4″ of total loft weighs a Mfr claimed 21oz (i’m not sure of the length as the webpage is not real clear on this point). Compare this to their comparably temp rated Spirt SL 32 with 10oz of 800-fillPower down producing 4″ of total loft but weighs a whopping 41oz (again, not sure of length as the webpage is not clear on this point). That’s 20oz more. I suspect, but I’m only guessing here, is that the 21oz wt of the Phantom is a SHORT length bag (66″ I believe), and the 41oz wt of the Spirit is a regular length bag (72″ I believe). This is just a guess because MtnHW doesn’t clarify this and lumps them all together and many Mfrs (not sure about MtnHW) like to play marketing related “numbers” games.
At any rate even if the true difference is less than 20oz b/c there might be length differences, it would still come out to be much more than 6 to 8 oz for a DWR bivy. But then, the Conduit SL fabric is much more water resistant. It’s really going to depend upon what conditions and what type of shelter you’re using. A small poncho-tarp used in very wet/rainy areas may require a more water resistant bag or bivy.
3. If you layer a DWR bivy over a DWR sleeping bag, isn’t that better? I don’t know experientially, but layering a DWR layer over anything is better than not having one. So, my question is why wouldn’t two layers be even better than one? If a single DWR layer has some affect on keeping an absorbent base layer from absorbing water, then why wouldn’t it also have some effect on a second, inner DWR layer absorbing as much water? A company called TiGoat gives you the choice of a single or double layer top DWR bivy. There must be a reason. My guess is that it would improve the situation. In part, water pressure is responsible for driving water through some fabrics or causing wetting of some DWR fabrics (also length of water contact can come into play). If the first layer takes up the impact pressure of a water drop hitting it, then the second, inner layer has less pressure to deal with.
4. I use a lightweight bivy made of Epic by Nextec fabric. It is more water resistent than a simple DWR fabric, but is somewhat less breathable than a DWR nylon. I’ve yet to have my Epic fabric wet through, though I’ve NOT used it alone in all night downpours or mod-heavy rains since it is described as “highly water resistant under all but the most extreme conditions”. It’s difficult to quantify “extreme”, in my mind at least.
5. Montbell makes some highly water resistant and also GTX bag covers if you don’t need a full bivy with zip-out bug netting. Some are under 7oz in weight. Even pairing a 16-17oz Montbell GTX bag cover (again if you don’t need a full featured bivy sack) over the aforementioned Phantom 32 save 3-4oz over the Spirit SL version. Just a thought.