Since you are asking this question with "no rain expected", I will answer it with that in mind.
I don't really care to bring a rain jacket.
Why?
I have been dumped on with 34* rain with a rain jacket on several times and was never dry.
The reason is that I move much faster than the average hiker and don't stop when it starts to rain.
About the only time I have stayed dry while moving about 25 miles in about 8 hours in the rain was on a day when the weather was perfect for a short sleeve shirt on under my Event Jacket.
Worked great, but that was so ideal that day and have never had a repeat of that day.
Think about it this way.
It's 6pm and you're at 12,000' and it is 33* and raining (was snowing just a few minutes before).
I'm heading northbound at the top of Muir Pass (with no rain jacket), or even a jacket to speak of. In fact I have all my clothing on.
It doesn't seem like it is going to let up, but looks like there are breaks here and there if I kept going.
Do I stay and freeze to death at 12,000' or descend and at least get out of the 33* weather.
Well, I didn't even give it any thought. I wasn't going to stay there.
Made it down to Evolution lake with off and on rain, ate and went to sleep.
As soon as I laid down, it started to rain, then the rain turned into a sloop of icy rain.
It got cold (just a little) 3 hours later at 12:30am, but had stopped raining.
I got up and moved on down until sometime between 3-4am and where I went back to sleep completely out of the front, warm and comfy.
Here's the 2nd situation, same trip.
I was just past Island Pass around the last trail junction before heading over Donahue.
It was about 5-6pm started to rain. Didn't look that bad though.
Since I was heading up this time when it would get colder, I stopped.
Got under a big tree and ate. Took my time and the rain passed in 1 1/2 hours.
Not only did I not get wet, I didn't get cold.
This was with everything on. Nylon long sleeve shirt, wind shirt and top warm long sleeve.
It would have helped to have my Monbell Ex-light jacket along on that trip, but instead I added 1.5 ounces of down to my quilt when I got home.
.
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So why bring a rain jacket if it doesn't really matter?
Remember, you are saying no expected rain.
I have never been cold and wet while moving.
I have also never had to stop while wet so still no point in having the rain jacket.
I used to bring a rain jacket all the time and no matter how much or little it has rained on me with the jacket on, I have still been just as wet, or dry, with or without the jacket.
The huge downside to wearing a rian jacket is getting that cold clammy feeling when you are wet and it's cold out.
With a synthetic jacket on, you don't have that problem. In fact you stay very warm and just need to worry about overheating.
So wearing a rain jacket while pushing in the rain is the hardest part to deal with. Wet and clammy during rain.
In a synthetic jacket, it's when it stops raining. Then you have to worry about how to dry off without getting wet and clammy.