Amber Monforte on the JMT
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The now-familiar data presentation is below. As usual, I tried to make reasonable guesses for when she took breaks. I typically did this whenever not having a break result in an unrealistically slow split speed. The times to beat (per Peter's FKT boards) are Michelle Jung's 6d 11h 35m from Whitney Portal and 6d 6h 5m from Whitney Summit. I'm still comparing her speeds against Leor, because, well, his splits were already coded in. Obviously not what she's aiming for, but a comparison nonetheless. I don't know if I should be congratulatory or critical of her for attempting this in the smoke. Perhaps both…Hopefully her lungs still love her. If she finishes, I think she pretty much has it nailed–she only needs to average about 1.2 mph and 1.33 mph for the FKT from the portal and summit, respectively. Table:
Profile: Updated through the first Cascade Valley Junction. Your math is pretty close to mine, Allen (edit: although I have her starting at 4:08am, which was her first ping). I'm using Sierra Mapper distances, which put Amber at about 1.76 mph average speed. To beat the FKT from the portal, she needs to average 1.07 mph for the rest of the hike; to beat the FKT from Whitney's summit, she needs to average 1.25 mph. At this point, she's probably carrying a few extra pounds of ash in her alveoli. So there's that challenge. Table:
Profile: Updated through the bluffs over Garnet. She's picked up the pace a bit, making great time into Red's (somewhere along the stretch she made great time–with as few points as the DeLorme spits out, it's hard to tell where). As of about 6:00am this morning, she was on the bluffs overlooking Garnet. At that point, her elapsed time was about 97h 54m from the portal (93h 22m from Whitney summit). Her average speed picked up to around 1.82 mph. Michelle Jung's FKTs are 155h 35m from the portal (150h 5m from the summit). Amber needs to average 0.79 mph to beat Michelle's portal time, and 0.96 mph to beat her Whitney summit time. Done by tonight? Maybe…depends on what's left in the tank. She'd have to average 2.5 mph between Garnet and HI to be done by midnight tonight, and that's faster than she's averaged on any section yet. If she does that, she'll knock almost 40 hours off the (admittedly soft) existing FKT… Good luck Amber! I rode my bike to work this morning to keep the CA air that much cleaner for you… Table:
Profile: At 2:10pm Amber checked in from atop Donohue–only about 35 miles left, and it is predominantly downhill. Everything is looking good for a FKT-smashing… Table:
Profile: Amber's moving quickly now! Guess she did have something left in the tank… At 7:10pm, she was just past the Elizabeth Lake junction with about 23 miles left. She's picked up the pace and is averaging about 1.82 mph. If she pushes on into the night (and keeps up a 2.5 mph pace–which she has since Garnet), she should finish a little after 4:00am. I'll be up before then to leave for the airport, so I'll check ;). Table:
Profile: At 4:17am Amber was about 1 mile from Happy Isles–she's probably finishing right about now! Congrats Amber! (edit: Added table and profile, and commentary below) Hopefully I didn't jinx her–no ping from the trailhead yet, but I called guesstimated her finish at 4:40am. Using 4:08am as her start time, that gives her 120h 32m from the portal, and 116h 0m from the summit. Even if my guesses are off by a few minutes…those are definitely FKTs*!!!! (Michelle Jung's existing FKTs are 155h 35m from the portal and 150h 5m from the summit.) * Pending scrutiny and cross-examination by FKT officials, of course Big congratulations to Amber! FKT aside, a 120h JMT is pretty darn impressive. We should all pitch in and buy her some inhalers. Table:
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